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HPV Vaccination: What We Know About Prevention That Actually Works

HPV vaccine efficacy, safety, and why vaccination prevents cervical and throat cancers

Things to Remember

  • HPV is extremely common: About 1 in 7 Americans currently has HPV, and most sexually active adults will get it at some point. Most infections clear on their own within 1-2 years without you ever knowing, but some stick around and can lead to cancer years or even decades later.

  • HPV causes multiple types of cancer: While most people know HPV causes cervical cancer, it also causes throat, anal, and other cancers. In fact, HPV-related throat cancer is now more common in the US than cervical cancer, and it mostly affects men.

  • The vaccine actually prevents cancer: The HPV vaccine works by teaching your immune system to recognize and block the virus before it can infect you. It prevents about 90% of HPV-related cancers by targeting the most dangerous virus strains - this is real cancer prevention, not just treatment after you're sick.

  • It works best before exposure: The vaccine is most effective when given before someone becomes sexually active (typically ages 11-12), but it's approved up to age 45. If you've never been infected with the HPV types in the vaccine, you can still benefit from getting vaccinated.

  • The protection is powerful: Studies show the vaccine is about 96% effective at preventing precancerous changes caused by the HPV types it covers. Real-world data from countries with high vaccination rates show dramatic drops in HPV infections and precancerous cervical changes.

  • There's no cure for HPV itself: Once you're infected, your body either clears it on its own or it doesn't - there's no medication to treat the virus. This makes prevention through vaccination especially important, since we can only treat the cell changes and cancers that result from persistent infection, not the virus itself.

This article explains what HPV vaccines protect against, who should get them, and why they're one of the most effective cancer prevention tools we have.

Most people think HPV is rare. Or that it's something other people get. The reality is different, and I think we should probably talk about it more openly than we do.

HPV Vaccine Types - Coverage and Key Differences

Vaccine HPV Types Covered Cancers Prevented Age Approved Doses Required
Gardasil 9 (current standard) 9 types: 16, 18, 31, 33, 45, 52, 58 (cancer-causing) + 6, 11 (genital warts) Cervical, oropharyngeal, anal, vaginal, vulvar, penile cancers + ~90% of genital warts Ages 9-45 2 doses (ages 9-14); 3 doses (ages 15+)
Gardasil (original, discontinued 2016) 4 types: 16, 18 (cancer-causing) + 6, 11 (genital warts) ~70% of cervical cancers, other HPV cancers, ~90% of genital warts Ages 9-26 3 doses over 6 months
Cervarix (discontinued in US 2016) 2 types: 16, 18 (cancer-causing only) ~70% of cervical cancers, other HPV-16/18 cancers Ages 9-25 3 doses over 6 months

Top 6 HPV-Related Cancers and Their Risk Profiles

  1. Cervical Cancer
  2. HPV attribution: ~91% caused by HPV (primarily types 16 and 18)
  3. Annual US cases: ~11,500 new diagnoses
  4. Prevention: Vaccination + regular Pap/HPV screening
  5. Most affected: Women ages 35-44

  6. Oropharyngeal Cancer (throat/tonsil/base of tongue)

  7. HPV attribution: ~70% caused by HPV (primarily type 16)
  8. Annual US cases: ~19,000 (now exceeds cervical cancer)
  9. Prevention: Vaccination (no screening test available)
  10. Most affected: Men ages 50-69

  11. Anal Cancer

  12. HPV attribution: ~91% caused by HPV
  13. Annual US cases: ~8,300
  14. Prevention: Vaccination + screening for high-risk groups
  15. Most affected: Women, men who have sex with men, immunocompromised individuals

  16. Vaginal Cancer

  17. HPV attribution: ~75% caused by HPV
  18. Annual US cases: ~1,000
  19. Prevention: Vaccination + cervical cancer screening may detect early changes
  20. Most affected: Women over 60

  21. Vulvar Cancer

  22. HPV attribution: ~69% caused by HPV
  23. Annual US cases: ~6,000
  24. Prevention: Vaccination (screening not routine)
  25. Most affected: Women over 65

  26. Penile Cancer

  27. HPV attribution: ~63% caused by HPV
  28. Annual US cases: ~2,200
  29. Prevention: Vaccination (screening not available)
  30. Most affected: Men over 55

Human papillomavirus - the virus behind most cervical cancers and a growing proportion of throat cancers - is the most common sexually transmitted infection worldwide. In the US alone, an estimated 42 million people are currently infected with a disease-causing type of HPV. That's roughly one in seven people. Every year, about 13 million more get infected. Most of them will never know.

I mention this not to alarm anyone, but because there's something unusual happening here: we have a vaccine that actually prevents cancer. Not treats it after the fact. Prevents it. And yet uptake remains lower than almost every other childhood vaccine we routinely give.

The Virus Itself

HPV is a DNA virus - technically from the Papillomaviridae family, though that detail matters less than what it does. It's transmitted through skin-to-skin genital contact, which makes it nearly ubiquitous among sexually active adults. More than 200 different HPV types have been identified. At least 12 of them are oncogenic, meaning they've been associated with cancer development. That doesn't mean every infection leads to cancer. Far from it. But it does mean the risk exists.

About 90% of new HPV infections become undetectable within one to two years. The immune system clears them. They disappear, and the person moves on without ever knowing they were infected. The problem is the 10% that don't clear. These persistent infections - particularly with high-risk types like HPV16 and HPV18 - can progress to precancerous lesions and, eventually, invasive cancer.

Worldwide, HPV16 and HPV18 account for roughly 70% of cervical cancers. For other HPV-related cancers - throat, anal, vaginal, vulvar, penile - the percentage is even higher. HPV16 alone is responsible for the majority of oropharyngeal cancers, which are now more common in the US than cervical cancer. Most of those cases occur in men.

I still find it striking how few people know this. The association between HPV and cervical cancer is well-known now. The link to throat cancer is less so. But the numbers are clear: in the US, oropharyngeal cancer has become the most common HPV-attributable cancer, and the incidence continues to rise.

How Infection Becomes Cancer

The progression from virus to cancer isn't immediate. It takes years, sometimes decades. The virus first infects the basal epithelial cells - often at the junction between the endocervix and ectocervix, a spot where the epithelium is thin and vulnerable. Any disruption in the epithelial surface - microtrauma during sexual contact, for instance - gives the virus access to the cell and, from there, to the nucleus.

Once inside the nucleus, certain high-risk HPV types can integrate into the host genome. This is where the trouble starts. The viral DNA interferes with normal cell replication and division, particularly by disrupting tumor suppressor genes like p53 and Rb (retinoblastoma protein - proteins that normally prevent unchecked cell growth). Infected cells multiply uncontrollably. Over time, this leads to dysplasia - abnormal cell growth - which can progress to high-grade precancerous lesions and, eventually, invasive cancer.

The timeline varies. Some patients develop high-grade dysplasia - cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN, a classification system for precancerous changes in cervical cells) grade 2 or 3 - within a few years. Others never progress at all. Immunocompromised patients, smokers, and those infected with particularly aggressive HPV subtypes are at higher risk. But even among immunocompetent non-smokers, the risk exists.

Most HPV-related cancers take years to develop. This is why screening works. We can catch precancerous changes early, treat them, and prevent progression to invasive disease. Cervical cancer is currently the only HPV-related cancer with an approved screening protocol, which involves HPV testing, cervical cytology (examination of cervical cells under a microscope to detect abnormalities), or both. If abnormalities are detected, further evaluation - including colposcopy (a procedure where a magnifying instrument examines the cervix) and biopsy - can identify high-grade lesions before they become cancer.

There's no treatment for the virus itself. Once someone is infected, the immune system either clears it or it persists. If it clears, the person is no longer at increased risk for cervical cancer, though the infection can reactivate later. If it persists, close surveillance and management of precancerous lesions become critical.

The Vaccine: How It Works and What It Prevents

HPV vaccines are based on virus-like particles, or VLPs - small protein structures that mimic the outer shell of the virus but contain no genetic material. They can't cause infection. What they can do is trigger an immune response that produces antibodies against the virus. If someone is later exposed to HPV, those antibodies recognize and neutralize the virus before infection can establish itself.

The first HPV vaccines were licensed in 2006 and 2009. They targeted two or four HPV types, respectively. In 2014, a nine-valent vaccine was introduced, covering seven oncogenic strains (including HPV16 and HPV18) plus two non-oncogenic strains that cause genital warts. These seven cancer-causing strains account for approximately 90% of all HPV-attributable cancers worldwide. The nine-valent vaccine is now the only one distributed in the US.

The efficacy data are striking. International randomized controlled trials involving female participants aged 15 to 26 showed vaccine efficacy of at least 96% for preventing cervical precancers caused by vaccine-targeted HPV types. That's in per-protocol populations - meaning participants who had no evidence of infection at the time of vaccination and who received all three doses. Trials of the quadrivalent vaccine demonstrated 100% efficacy for preventing external anogenital, vaginal, and cervical lesions when given prior to HPV exposure.

Subsequent studies in children aged 9 to 15 found that antibody levels following vaccination were non-inferior to - or even higher than - those in the adult trials that demonstrated efficacy. Similar results have been seen in men. Long-term follow-up in Nordic countries showed no cases of HPV16 or HPV18-attributable cervical precancers over 12 years post-vaccination.

What's particularly interesting is that vaccination produces higher antibody titers than natural infection. The immune response to the vaccine is stronger and more durable than the response to the virus itself. This is unusual. For most infections, natural immunity is considered superior. Not here.

Timing Matters: Why Vaccination Before Exposure Is Critical

The vaccine doesn't work once infection is established. It's preventive, not therapeutic. This means it must be given before someone is exposed to the HPV strains covered by the vaccine. Since HPV is transmitted through skin-to-skin genital contact, the vaccine should ideally be given before the onset of any sexual activity.

This is why the recommended age for vaccination is 11 to 12 years, though it can be initiated as early as age 9. At this age, most children haven't been exposed to HPV. The vaccine is maximally effective. There's also a practical benefit: children who receive the vaccine before age 15 require only two doses, spaced six to twelve months apart. Those aged 15 or older need three doses to complete the series. Immunocompromised individuals need three doses regardless of age.

Vaccination is recommended for everyone up to age 26. For people aged 27 to 45, the decision becomes more nuanced. The vaccine may still provide benefit, but by this age, many people have already been exposed to at least some of the HPV types covered by the vaccine. The potential benefit is lower. Shared decision-making between patient and provider is recommended.

I've had this conversation many times. The usual question is: "Is it worth it at my age?" And the answer depends. If someone has had few sexual partners, if they're in a long-term monogamous relationship with a previously unvaccinated partner, if they're starting a new relationship after a period of abstinence - there may still be benefit. But the data are less clear, and the decision is more individual.

Safety and Post-Licensure Surveillance

There's extensive evidence regarding the safety of these vaccines. More than 135 million doses of HPV vaccine have been distributed in the US through 2021. Post-licensure monitoring - both in the US and internationally - has detected no safety concerns beyond rare allergic reactions. Large population-based studies have shown no increased risk of death, autoimmune conditions, or neurologic conditions following vaccination.

This is important to emphasize. Vaccine hesitancy around HPV vaccination remains surprisingly high, often driven by misinformation about safety. The data are clear: the vaccine is safe. The risks of HPV infection and subsequent cancer far outweigh the risks of vaccination.

Real-World Impact: What We've Seen Since Introduction

Twelve years after the US HPV vaccination program launched, the prevalence of vaccine-type HPV infections had decreased by 88% among adolescents aged 14 to 19 and by 81% among those aged 20 to 24. This is remarkable. Even more striking is the herd immunity effect: HPV prevalence has dropped even among unvaccinated individuals. This suggests that widespread vaccination reduces transmission at a population level.

While randomized trials haven't been long enough to directly assess impact on cervical cancer rates, epidemiological data from several countries have shown reduced cervical cancer incidence in vaccinated cohorts. In Scotland, for example, women who received the vaccine between ages 12 and 13 showed an 89% reduction in cervical cancer rates compared to unvaccinated women. Similar trends have been observed in Sweden, Finland, and Australia.

We're starting to see what prevention looks like at scale.

The Gap: Where We Are Now

Despite this, uptake remains lower than it should be. In 2023, 76.8% of US adolescents aged 13 to 17 had received at least one dose of HPV vaccine. Only 61.4% were fully up to date with the recommended series. Compare this to other vaccines routinely given to adolescents - like the meningococcal or Tdap vaccines - where coverage approaches 90%.

I'm not entirely sure why the gap persists. Part of it may be discomfort around discussing a sexually transmitted infection with children. Part of it may be misinformation about vaccine safety. Part of it may simply be that parents don't fully understand what's being prevented. Cancer feels distant when your child is 11. It's abstract. Throat cancer twenty years from now doesn't feel as immediate as meningitis or whooping cough.

But the reality is that this vaccine prevents cancer. Not all cancers, but a meaningful subset. And the evidence is clear: it works best when given early, before exposure.

What This Means Going Forward

HPV vaccination is one of the most effective cancer prevention tools we have. It's safe. It's well-studied. It prevents not just cervical cancer but also oropharyngeal, anal, vaginal, vulvar, and penile cancers. The benefit is greatest when given before exposure, which is why routine vaccination at ages 11 to 12 is recommended.

For those who missed vaccination in childhood, catch-up vaccination up to age 26 is still recommended. Beyond that, the decision becomes more individual. But the principle remains: vaccination before exposure provides the most benefit.

I think we should talk about this more openly than we do. HPV infection is common. The vaccine is effective. The barriers to uptake - whether discomfort, misinformation, or simple lack of awareness - are surmountable.

Some days I wonder if we've gotten too comfortable with the idea that cancer is inevitable. That it just happens. But this is one cancer we can actually prevent. Not all of them, but enough to matter. I think that's worth paying attention to.

FAQ

Q: At what age should my child get the HPV vaccine?

A: The recommended age is 11-12 years, though vaccination can begin as early as age 9. This timing isn't arbitrary - it's based on immunological evidence showing the strongest antibody response occurs before sexual debut, and most young people haven't been exposed to HPV at this age. The vaccine is most effective when given before any HPV exposure. For those who start the series before their 15th birthday, only two doses are needed (6-12 months apart). Those starting at 15 or older require three doses. While catch-up vaccination is recommended through age 26, and can be considered up to age 45 after discussion with your doctor, the protective benefit decreases with age due to likely prior HPV exposure.

Q: Can the HPV vaccine cause infection or give someone HPV?

A: No. This is immunologically impossible. The vaccine contains virus-like particles (VLPs) - protein shells that mimic HPV's outer structure but contain no viral DNA or genetic material whatsoever. Think of them as empty shells. They cannot replicate, cannot integrate into your genome, and cannot cause infection. What they do exceptionally well is train your immune system to recognize and neutralize actual HPV if you're exposed later. The most common side effects are local injection site reactions (pain, redness, swelling) and occasionally mild fever or fatigue - typical responses to any vaccine as your immune system generates protective antibodies.

Q: Does the HPV vaccine only protect against cervical cancer?

A: No - this is a common misconception that significantly underestimates the vaccine's value, particularly for males. While HPV does cause approximately 70% of cervical cancers, it's also responsible for roughly 95% of anal cancers, 70% of oropharyngeal (throat) cancers, 65% of vaginal cancers, 50% of vulvar cancers, and 35% of penile cancers. Notably, oropharyngeal cancer is now the most common HPV-related cancer in the United States, surpassing cervical cancer, and predominantly affects men. The nine-valent vaccine currently used prevents approximately 90% of all HPV-attributable cancers across both sexes. It also prevents genital warts, which, while not life-threatening, cause significant morbidity and healthcare costs.

Q: If someone is already sexually active, is it too late to get vaccinated?

A: Not necessarily - vaccination can still provide substantial benefit. While it's true that sexually active individuals may have already been exposed to some HPV types, infection with all nine vaccine-covered types simultaneously is statistically unlikely. The vaccine will still protect against the HPV strains you haven't encountered. Clinical trial data show that even in sexually active populations, vaccination significantly reduces the incidence of HPV-related precancers and genital warts. That said, the vaccine is not therapeutic - it won't clear existing infections or treat current lesions. The greatest benefit occurs with pre-exposure vaccination, which is why we recommend it before sexual debut. However, catch-up vaccination through age 26 remains cost-effective and clinically beneficial.

Q: How long does HPV vaccine protection last?

A: Current evidence shows robust protection lasting at least 12-14 years post-vaccination, with antibody levels remaining well above natural infection levels. Importantly, there's no indication of waning immunity requiring booster doses. Long-term follow-up studies demonstrate sustained high antibody titres and continued protection against vaccine-type HPV infections. The immune response generated by the vaccine is substantially stronger than natural infection - often 10-fold higher antibody levels - which provides durable protection. While we don't yet have 30- or 40-year data (the vaccine was only licensed in 2006), immunological models and current trajectories suggest protection may be lifelong. No booster doses are currently recommended or required.

Q: Why isn't there routine screening for throat cancer like there is for cervical cancer?

A: The short answer is biological: we lack a validated, cost-effective screening methodology. Cervical screening works because the cervix is anatomically accessible, cell samples are easily obtained, and we have decades of data on the natural history of cervical dysplasia - we know what precancerous changes look like and how they progress. The oropharynx is anatomically complex, with irregular surfaces and lymphoid tissue that makes systematic sampling difficult. More importantly, we haven't identified reliable precancerous markers for oropharyngeal cancer. By the time lesions are visible or symptomatic, they're often already invasive. Unlike cervical cancer, where progression from dysplasia to cancer takes years and provides a screening window, throat cancer appears to develop through a different, less predictable pathway. This is precisely why prevention through vaccination is so critical for these cancers - we can't reliably screen for them, but we can prevent them.

Q: Can you still get cervical cancer after being vaccinated?

A: Yes, though the risk is dramatically reduced. The nine-valent vaccine prevents approximately 90% of HPV-attributable cervical cancers, not 100%. This means about 10% of cervical cancers are caused by high-risk HPV types not covered by the vaccine. Additionally, vaccination doesn't protect against HPV types you've already been exposed to before vaccination. This is why routine cervical screening remains essential regardless of vaccination status. Vaccinated individuals still need Pap smears or HPV testing according to national guidelines (typically beginning at age 25). The vaccine is a highly effective primary prevention tool, but screening provides a crucial second line of defence. Together, vaccination and screening offer the most comprehensive protection against cervical cancer currently available. Neither alone is sufficient - both are necessary for optimal cancer prevention.

Q: Are there any long-term safety concerns with the HPV vaccine?

A: The safety profile is well-established and reassuring. Over 135 million doses have been distributed in the United States since 2006, with continuous safety monitoring through multiple surveillance systems. Large population-based studies involving millions of participants have found no association between HPV vaccination and serious adverse events, autoimmune conditions, primary ovarian insufficiency, or fertility problems. The most comprehensive systematic reviews and meta-analyses confirm the vaccine's safety profile is comparable to other routine adolescent vaccines. As with any medical intervention, rare adverse events can occur - primarily allergic reactions, which occur with any vaccine at rates of roughly 1-2 per million doses. The evidence is clear: the cancer prevention benefits overwhelmingly outweigh the minimal risks. This isn't controversial in the medical literature - it's supported by robust data from multiple countries over nearly two decades of post-licensure surveillance.

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Dr Terry Nguyen

Dr Terry Nguyen

MBBS MBA BAppSci

Dr Terry Nguyen is a Sydney-based Australian medical doctor providing comprehensive healthcare services including house calls, telemedicine, and paediatric care. With qualifications in Medicine (MBBS), Business Administration (MBA), and Applied Science (BAppSci), he brings a unique combination of clinical expertise and healthcare management experience.

Dr Nguyen is hospital-trained at Westmead and St Vincent's hospitals, ALS certified, and available 24/7 for urgent and routine care. He serves families across Sydney's Eastern Suburbs, CBD, North Shore, and Inner West, as well as providing telemedicine consultations Australia-wide. With over 2,000 Sydney families trusting his care, Dr Nguyen is committed to providing excellence in medical care with expertise, discretion, and personal attention.